Monday, 21 May 2012

The European Union is a slow motion Titanic

Peter Glover aptly describes the European Union as a slow motion Titanic. The self-inflicted Eurozone crisis together with the also self-inflicted "green" economy bubble is an unbeatable combination leading to a marginalized and less prosperous Europe


What’s the difference between the European Union and the Titanic? Answer: the Titanic was holed by a single immovable object and took minutes to sink. The EU, another allegedly “unsinkable” project, is taking a little longer. As if Eurozone crisis and keeping Greece afloat wasn’t threatening enough, the next crisis is looming: energy – a crisis entirely of the EU’s own policy-making.
The EU’s ideologically-driven Energy Road Map prioritized ‘green’ renewable energy, diverting away from Russian natural gas dependency and harmonizing energy and environmental needs. The result: a devastatingly inept screw up that threatens continent-wide power outages even, as Die Welt recently reported, in Germany as early as next winter.
In short order, EU energy policies have created an unsustainable, publicly-subsidized, market-skewing ‘green’ energy bubble, eschewed a cheap fossil fuels policy and realistic alternatives to Russian gas imports. Together those failed policies have resulted in the double double-whammy of soaring of energy prices and, as is now being reported, diminishing European industrial competitiveness.
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While times were good, political elites could make out a case for high taxation and subsidies to a market they believed to be in our best interests. But hard-pressed economies across Europe, including Germanythe UKItaly and Spain, are currently falling over themselves to slash generous renewable energy subsidies that have demonstrably failed to deliver a viable power generation-to-investment ratio. They have also failed to impact global carbon emissions and, where green jobs were created, they often proved to be at the expense of real jobs. As if that wasn’t enough, the US, which refused to bust its economy by signing the Kyoto Protocol, is beating the pants off Europe when it comes to cutting CO2 emissions via new technology and the switch to natural (largely shale) gas.
In Germany, domestic electricity bills are set to double in the next ten years. German banks have also been banned from financing offshore wind farms as they are “unproven technology”. The truth is, we know only too well how inefficient, intermittent and unreliable all wind turbines are, not least as they require expensive gas turbine back-ups at every turn; two facilities where previously one – and a much cheaper one at that – did the job extremely efficiently.
In addition, the climate and peak oil alarmists colluded to try and convince us we had no alternative to the green revolution as the earth’s finite resources, especially oil and gas, were running out. But, as some of us have long pointed out, for all practical purposes the earth’s supply of fuel is actually infinite. The advent of the hydraulic fracturing revolution to develop shale gas and oil has proved a devastating global game-changer. And beyond that, methane hydrates blow away even what shale gas and shale oil resources offers. The Green River Formation in the United States alone holds around 200 years of oil at current US consumption levels. Canadian oil sands offer an even bigger prize – hence the US furore over the Keystone pipeline to ship the oil south of the border. China, the UK, Argentina, among many others, have world class domestic natural gas awaiting development. More pertinent for our purpose here, however, is the extent of Europe’s shale gas reserves which pretty much matches that being exploited in the United States; a singular fact that brings us to our second issue.
Europe’s eschewing of its cheap domestic, viable and economic fossil fuels. Instead the EU’s ideological elites, driven by an irrational fear of a harmless trace gas (CO2), prefer high taxation and regulatory regimes to fund ‘green’ energy. Cocooned in the lavish splendour of Brussels and Strasbourg the political elites have no problem in seeing increasing numbers in Germanythe UK and elsewhere forced into fuel poverty to pay for their green dream. Meanwhile Europe’s vast coal and shale resources are not being developed as governments, hard-pressed by pointless and ineffective emission quotas, are locked in an idiotic foot-dragging exercise over the hydraulic fracturing (fracking) extraction process; a process central to most mining extractions for over 60 years.

Sunday, 20 May 2012

The G-8 "summit" at Camp David was just a PR excercise

The G-8 "summit" at Camp David produced a statement devoid of any real substance (which of course was no surprise):



Their eight-paragraph statement from the presidential retreat at Camp David, Md., on Saturday seamlessly bridged both sides of the austerity versus growth debate and let each decide exactly what the new growth emphasis is going to mean. And it said little about where the money for more spending might come from.
Their agreement — reached quickly after a morning’s discussion at Camp David — bridged disagreement by not rejecting one approach in favor of the other, but adroitly combining them. Balance budgets, yes, but find ways to spend, or rather “invest,” on things like education and public works.
Read the entire article here
The sad truth is that gatherings of this kind (almost) always are empty and hollow Public Relations excercises designed to boost the image of the participating politicians. 

Friday, 18 May 2012

The EU global warming mafia wants to punish Poland



Poland´s sensible opposition to even stronger EU climate change commitments is one of the few bright spots in the ever more depressing reality of European co-operation. But the the valiant Poles are in urgent need of allies against the club of politically correct hypocrites who now are running the European Union
The current EU Presidency holder Denmark - a country which according to the latest WWF report has the dirtiest ecologicl footprint of all Western countries - has already threatened to link a Polish veto of a deal to raise CO2 reduction goals beyond 2020 to the 2014-2020 budget talks:
The source also told Reuters that the current holder of the EU's rotating presidency, Denmark, had threatened to link a Polish veto of a deal to raise CO2 reduction goals beyond 2020 to the 2014-2020 budget talks.
Poland has rejected that programme - dubbed the 2050 road map - twice already, upsetting Germany and the Scandinavian EU states that have led the green agenda, and will likely do so again if the plan is presented to another meeting due in June.
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"Poland's obstruction on climate is going to cost it badly, increasingly badly. It could backlash on all sorts of other issues," said Jesse Scott, energy and climate advisor at demosEuropa think-tank.
Read the entire article here
Let us hope that the mess created by the failed euro currency and the increasingly negative EU growth numbers will make it easier for the Poles to stand by their views against the ever more desperate Brussels global warming mafia.

The fact that Poland also wants to pursue its national interest by planning for a shale gas future is another thorn in the side of the EU warmists, who are assisted by the wind energy lobby and Gazprom. Also here Poland needs all available assistance, e.g. from the UK

Thursday, 17 May 2012

G-8 summit at Camp David to be a great success (for Thurmont, Maryland)

                The Clinton Room - complete with gas fireplace, jacuzzi and king size bed - at the        Cozy Inn is already booked for the G-8 meeting


The leaders of the G-8 countries will tomorrow gather at Camp David, 
President Obama´s secluded retreat in the Catoctin Mountains

As always before this kind of "summits", journalists and analysts are busy hyping the meeting:
President Barack Obama will welcome world leaders to the secluded getaway as economic chaos in Europe continues to roil global markets, prompting fears that Europe's misfortunes could threaten the U.S. economic recovery, and possibly Obama's chances at re-election.
Solving Europe's woes is likely to dominate talks at the G-8 summit among the leaders of the world's richest democracies.
Analysts expect Obama to continue a path of quiet diplomacy, prodding European leaders to find a way out of the economic turmoil that could rattle U.S. markets. He's expected to continue to press for growth measures, along with the austerity measures championed by German chancellor Angela Merkel.
Of course they all know that this meeting is not going to be any different from earlier similar gatherings, which have produced no tangible results. Of course there will be a lofty statement -   written by advisers and bureaucrats - in which the leaders "commit" themselves to push for growth, jobs, fight against "climate change" and other supposedly good causes. But those "commitments" are - as always - only meant to make the "world leaders" look good at the concluding photo opportunity. 
However, there is a bright side to the Camp David G-8 meeting: Thurmont, the Frederick County town of about 6,000, adjacent to Camp David is already looking forward to a great weekend
Beyond the frenzy that typically surrounds multi-national gatherings like this, though, local businesses are looking on the bright side. For instance, the Cozy Inn, widely considered the "place to be" in Thurmont, has already sold out all 17 rooms for that weekend.
"This time, it was all journalists," Cozy Inn general manager Vickie Binder said.
Meanwhile, down the street at The Shamrock restaurant, GM Donna Demmon is no stranger to famous diners, which in the past have included Barbara Walters and Sam Donaldson.
"I'm sure we're going to see some people because of this," Demmon said.
And the local police are making sure that security will be tight during the summit:
Thurmont Police Chief Gregory Eyler said he'll likely cancel all leave and training time for his 10-member police force for the G-8 meeting.


Good luck to you all in Thurmont!


Read more here: http://www.kansascity.com/2012/05/16/3614367/at-g-8-obama-to-champion-growth.html#storylink=cpy


Read more here: http://www.kansascity.com/2012/05/16/3614367/at-g-8-obama-to-champion-growth.html#storylink=cp
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Wednesday, 16 May 2012

No reason to celebrate Spanish wind power "record"

The European wind power lobby is celebrating the fact wind turbines in Spain at 1:37 in the early hours of 19 April accounted for 61% of the country´s energy demand:


Last month wind power in Sclpain reached new heights. This extract from the Spanish wind energy association’s (AEE) blog ‘somos eolicos’ highlights what happened…


However, this "achievement" is less than remarkable, when one realises that it happened on a particularly stormy day -  and in the middle of the night, when energy demand is extremely low:
 Iberian benchmark power prices bucked a pre-weekend downtrend in wholesale dealing on Friday as market-moving wind power retreated after setting new records during stormy weather the day before.

Spanish wind parks generated 16,636 megawatts on Thursday, according to national grid operator REE, easily surpassing a previous record of 14,752 MW set on Nov. 9, 2010.

Earlier in the day, wind power accounted for 61 percent of demand In Spain, which typically accounts for 85 percent of volume in the Iberian Electricity Market (Mibel).
Already on the following day the party was over:

By midday on Friday, wind power was down to 11,269 MW, which made costlier coal- and gas-burning plants work harder.


Read the entire article here

Wind power is not going to be a serious energy alternative anywhere. When the wind does not blow - and that happens usually e.g. when it is very cold outside - the turbines produce little or no energy. And in stormy weather they produce too much.  It´s just as simple as that. 

Merkel sacks the main architect of Germany´s controversial energy transition

German Chanchellor Angela Merkel today fired the main architect of the her government´s energy transition policy (Energiewende), Environment Minister Norbert Röttgen, who lost a major election for Merkel´s CDU party in North Rhine-Westfalia last Sunday. 


Although the election loss sealed Röttgen´s fate, the Chancellor knows that criticism of the energy transition policy - which according to the wellknown industrialist and environmentalist Dr. Fritz Vahrenholt is destroying the country´s prosperity - is growing. 


Merkel said her energy policy, which envisages a radical increase in the use of renewable energy sources in the coming decades, faced major challenges and that a "fresh start" with a new minister would help to master them.
"The energy revolution is a central plan of this term and the foundations for it have been laid but we still have a lot of work to do," Merkel said in her statement. "It is evident that the implementation will require major efforts and that is why the Environment Ministry plays an important role in this respect."
Merkel's energy plans have made little progress since she announced an early phaseout of nuclear power in March 2011, in a major U-turn that followed the Fukushima nuclear accident. Key questions remain unresolved, such as the expansion of the national power grid and the construction of new gas-fired power plants.

Read the entire article here

It is unlikely that Röttgen´s successor will be able to do very much, unless the entire Energiewende is dumped. But that is a decision Angela Merkel probably does not have the courage to make. The CDU is most likely going to lose the  next parliamentary election, but the likely winners - the social democrats and the greens - will make the German energy future even worse. So be prepared for unstable times in the still rather succesful economic powerhouse of Europe.

EU - A union "held together by adhesive bandage" and "wishful thinking"



Paul Taylor, a Reuters correspondent, hits the nail on the head. His description of the EUSSR is worth reading: 


The European Union’s policy making system often resembles one of those cartoon designs of an implausibly convoluted system for achieving a simple task — held together by adhesive bandage, string, frequent tinkering and plenty of wishful thinking.
What is striking when you compare Europe’s policies on agriculture, monetary union and climate change is the way the Union keeps bolting on patches and extra wiring to try to fix problems created by its own solutions.
Over the past five decades, the Union has set out to achieve a set of worthy goals by regulating markets — self-sufficiency in food, currency stability, resistance to climate change.
Each of these policies created perverse incentives or what economists call “moral hazard” — unintended consequences like an oversupply of food, real estate bubbles and debt overhangs.
When things go off the rails, the Union’s reflex is never to question or scrap the policy, since political dogma, vested interests and institutional inertia rule out going back on what in Eurospeak is called the “acquis,” or European achievements.
The default response is always “more Europe,” without insisting upon the most straightforward solution, which is often blocked by the threat of political vetoes.
“In political science, it’s called ‘path dependency,”’ said Helen Wallace of the London School of Economics, an authority on European governance. “You are so locked in by what you have done before that you end up doing a version of it again and again.”
While similar behavior exists in national governments and private businesses, the European Union is special — not just because of the number of veto holders who can block change, but also because supporters of the European integration project are reluctant to be critical when policies go wrong, she said.


Read the entire article here
PS
The "path dependency" of the current set of EU leaders will end, when failure on all fronts -  climate change, the common currency, agricultural policy, to name just a few - will force them to retire.