Showing posts with label Poland. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Poland. Show all posts

Wednesday, 18 June 2014

Germany, France and the UK are unwilling NATO allies in the fight against Putin's aggression

In spite of some tough words, Germany, France and the UK are unwilling to do very much against dictator Vladimir Putin's aggression. Business interests dictate their lame response:

Yet the bigger surprise of March's Crimea crisis came from the west with Berlin's muted response to Russian aggression, and its rejection of Warsaw's calls for a stronger NATO response.
The German language has a new phrase for the political and business establishment's attitude: Russlandversteher, or "understanding Russia." Over half of Germans claim to "understand" Vladimir Putin's annexation of Crimea and the bloody conflict it is fomenting in Ukraine—in part blaming America's support for Kiev's democrats for provoking the Kremlin. A similar number oppose further sanctions on Russia. Chancellor Angela Merkel's rhetorically harder anti-Putin line finds little support in Germany.
For the past 25 years, the Poles were told that the new Germany would have their back. After German unification and the eastward expansion of the EU and NATO, as the reassuring slogan went, "When Germans now look East, they see the West"—namely Poland. Germany trades and invests more with Poland than with Russia. Yet Berlin's present approach evokes the memory of a Germany that once carved up Central Europe with Russia. No one's talking of another partition of Poland, but it's sobering to hear Polish officials grumble more about Berlin than about Moscow.
Further west, the continent's divisions get amplified. The French are moving ahead with the $1.6 billion sale of two Mistral naval assault vessels to Russia later this year over the objections of Washington and the newer NATO allies in Poland and the Baltic states. Britain has sold the City of London along with its soul for a pot of dirty Russian money.
 
Thus, the US remains Poland's only real ally, even under a weak president. One must hope that the next US president is somebody closer to the Reagan legacy than Barack Obama and somebody who would put real pressure on the main European NATO allies.

Friday, 16 May 2014

Richard Miniter: "The Obama Administration is too busy trying to appease the Russian bear to see an opportunity to tame it"

Richard Miniter is spot on in his Forbes column:

The only way to transform Russia from a would-be regional threat to a normal country would be to take away its extraordinary powers over Europe. European energy independence, missile shield and a robust NATO would trim Russia’s claws and change its behavior.
Unfortunately, the Obama Administration can’t see the tremendous historic opportunity that lies at its feet.
Putin’s slow-motion invasion of Ukraine is exactly the catalyst needed to wean Europe from energy dependence on Russia, forge opinion for missile defense and modernize NATO. Without Putin’s aggression, no American president could ever get the Europeans to act collectively and rapidly.

Yet the Obama Administration is too busy trying to appease the Russian bear to see an opportunity to tame it.
A proven missile defense for Poland is a vital first step. Let’s hope the Obama Administration comes to realize what the Poles already know.

Wednesday, 23 April 2014

A good sign: First U.S. Army paratroopers have arrived in Poland

This is a good sign:

U.S. Army paratroopers are arriving in Poland on Wednesday as part of a wave of U.S. troops heading to shore up America's Eastern European allies in the face of Russian meddling in Ukraine. 
Pentagon press secretary Rear Adm. John Kirby said an initial contingent of about 600 troops will head to four countries across Eastern Europe for military exercises over the next month. 

First, about 150 soldiers from the 173rd Airborne Brigade Combat Team based in Vicenza, Italy, are arriving in Poland. 
Additional Army companies will head to Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and are expected to arrive by Monday for similar land-based exercises in those countries. 
The show of strength comes as the United States, European allies and Ukraine try to ease tensions with Russia and pro-Russian separatists in eastern Ukraine. All sides struck a diplomatic agreement last week, but it remains unclear whether pro-Russian demonstrators, who took over a series of government buildings in the wake of Russia's annexation of Crimea, will back down. 
Under the current plan, U.S. troops would rotate in and out of the four Eastern European countries for additional exercises on a recurring basis.

PS

Barack Obama should always remember what his great predecessor said:

Monday, 3 March 2014

Former British ambassador: The Baltic countries and Finland could be next on Putin's list of "ours"

Former British ambassador Charles Crawford points out who should be most worried about Putin's foreign policy:

The key to understanding Russian policy in the former Soviet Union is found in an interview Vladimir Putin gave back in 2003. Asked what his foreign policy was, he said something to the effect of "I aim to keep what's ours."
So much said, in so few words. All hail technique.
Thus, for example, what Russia sees as 'its' might include:
  • any territories ever conquered by the Tsars or Stalin (including eg the three small Baltic republics, large chunks of Poland and Finland etc)
  • any territories that belonged to the USSR
  • any territories that belonged to the Russian SSR
  • any territories where Russian influence 'naturally' belongs
  • anywhere where non-trivial numbers of Russian citizens find themselves outside Russia's current borders (hence the busy policy of handing out Russian passports to Russian-speakers or others showing due fealty to Moscow, eg in Georgia/Abkhazia and now in Ukraine)

Friday, 24 January 2014

Commercial shale gas production in Poland could begin as early as October this year

This is great news for Poland - and Europe:

Europe passed a “major milestone” on the way to starting commercial shale gas production as San Leon (SLE) Energy Plc said testing at one of its Polish wells was successful.
Natural gas flowed from the vertical Lewino well in a shale formation in the Baltic Basin in northern Poland at as much as 60,000 cubic feet per day during tests, Dublin-based San Leon, a natural-gas explorer backed by billionaire George Soros and Blackrock Inc., said today in a filing. The company will start drilling a more productive horizontal well no later than July, said Dennis McKee, the chief executive officer of United Oilfield Services Sp. z o.o., which worked on Lewino.
Countries including Poland, the U.K., Ukraine and Romania are keen to develop shale gas resources as a way to lower energy costs and reduce imports. Europe must get a grip on energy prices to protect growth and reduce the cost gap with the U.S., where a shale-gas revolution has cut prices, European Union Energy Commissioner Guenther Oettinger told a conference in Berlin on Jan. 21, via a link from Brussels.
“We’re confident we can show real commercial flow rates,” San Leon Chairman Oisin Fanning said in a telephone interview from London. “If you can prove the shale play in Poland, it will open up in other countries.” --

The results from the Lewino well are a “major milestone in the process of commercialization of shale gas in Poland,” McKee told reporters at a briefing in Warsaw. San Leon may bring the well to commercial production by October, after it conducts flow tests, he said. United Oilfield Services is the nation’s largest provider of hydraulic fracturing, also known as fracking.

Sunday, 24 November 2013

How the European Union bribed the group of 48 Least Developed Countries to support the Warsaw COP 19 deal

UK Climate Change Secretary Ed Davey on the EU
bribes to the group of 48 Least Developed Countries:
"UK and EU achieved our aims, building alliances with our friends across the world"
 

The European Union has been celebrating the empty deal reached at the UN global warming "summit" COP 19 in Warsaw. UK Energy and Climate Change Secretary Ed Davey was cheerleading the European "success":

 "All nations have now agreed to start their homework to prepare for a global climate change deal in 2015. The world now has a work programme, with timetables. While the long negotiations in Poland showed there are many tough talks ahead of us, the determined diplomacy of the UK and EU achieved our aims, building alliances with our friends across the world."

(Wow, "a work programme, with timetables"!)

The reality behind this European "success story" is this: The European Union as a matter of fact bribed the group of 48 Least Developed Countries, which had come to the conference with demands for unlimited "loss and damage" claims.

When the group of 48 realized that their demands would be ignored, they settled for the next best thing - new promises of funding from their traditional paymasters in the European Union:

The European Union and its Member States – which together are the biggest donor of Official Development Assistance and the leading provider of climate finance to developing countries - showed in Warsaw that they are delivering on climate finance and will continue to do so in the future.
Last year the EU and a number of Member States announced voluntary contributions totalling around 5.5 billion, and a recent assessment shows they are on track to deliver this in 2013. In Warsaw the EU and several Member States announced new climate finance for 2014. The indicative contributions to developing countries are expected to be at least at the same level as in 2013. In particular, EU Member States have contributed well over half of a US $100 million addition to the Adaptation Fund requested by developing countries.

The European "trick" (Der Spiegel) worked - the group of 48 Least Developed Countries switched sides, making the empty deal in Warsaw possible. But how long will European taxpayers - struggling with low or no growth, high unemployment and constantly rising energy prices - be prepared accept this madness?

PS

This is what EU taxpayers can look forward to, unless Connie Hedegaard and her colleagues in Brussels are stopped:

At least 20% of the entire European Union budget for 2014-2020 will be spent on climate-related projects and policies, following the European Parliament's approval today of the 2014-2020 EU budget. The 20% commitment triples the current share and could yield as much as €180 billion in climate spending in all major EU policy areas over the seven-year period.
The EU’s development policy will contribute to achieving the 20% overall commitment, with an estimated €1.7bn for climate spending in developing countries in 2014-2015 alone. This is on top of climate finance from individual EU Member States. This budget marks a major step forward in transforming Europe into a clean and competitive low-carbon economy and helping developing countries adapt to the impacts of climate change.
 

Thursday, 21 November 2013

At last some good news from the UN climate jamboree in Warsaw: The COP 19 is "is on track to deliver virtually nothing"

At last, some good news from the UN global warming jamboree COP 19 in Warsaw.

Today's and yesterday's walk outs are a clear sign that the eco-fundamentalist "green groups" - Greenpeace, WWF, Oxfam, ActionAid, the International Trade Union Confederation and Friends of the Earth - now have to admit that their indoctrination campaigns in the developing countries have been useless and counterproductive. The "rich" industrialized countries are not going to accept unlimited  "compensation" payments for "loss and damage" due to (non-existent human induced) global warming:

Developing countries including the Philippines and economic superpower China walked out of one of the most critical negotiations of the United Nations Climate Change Conference in Warsaw, Poland on Wednesday, November 20, over the issue of climate finance.
The walkout, which happened 3:55 am on Wednesday, was led by Bolivian negotiator Juan Hoffmaister who was representing the G77+China group in a closed night-time session on loss and damage.
It was motivated by the developing nation bloc's frustration over the unwillingness of developed countries like Australia and Norway to discuss a mechanism for compensating poor nations for loss and damage due to climate change impacts like storms. --

"Codifying loss and damage issues in an agreement could lead to claims of legal liability, which would be problematic, to say the least," Robert Stavins, director of the Harvard Environmental Economics Program, told Agence France-Presse.

Read the entire article here

Six green groups walked out of UN climate negotiations on Thursday, November 21, declaring that the ailing talks were "on track to deliver virtually nothing".
"Organizations and movements representing people from every corner of the Earth have decided that the best use of our time is to voluntarily withdraw from the Warsaw climate talks," they said in a statement.
"The Warsaw climate conference, which should have been an important step in the just transition to a sustainable future, is on track to deliver virtually nothing."
The signatories were Greenpeace, WWF, Oxfam, ActionAid, the International Trade Union Confederation and Friends of the Earth.

Read the entire article here

Saturday, 16 November 2013

The Lutheran World Federation delegation at the COP 19 is back at the laden tables after one day "hunger strike"

The Lutheran World Federation, with 142 member churches in 79 countries, has opted to join the Church of Global Warming. That's why this Swiss based organization has a large delegation at the UN global warming jamboree COP 19 in Warsaw.

Somebody at the LWF came up with the idea, that joining the Philippine lead negotiator Yeb Sano, who is fasting "until a meaningful outcome is in sight", might result in some good publicity.

That's why the Lutheran World Federation's "official delegation" fasted yesterday:

LWF General Secretary, the Rev Martin Junge, and President Bishop Dr Munib A. Younan, along with vice-presidents from Asia, Europe and North America are joining the action on 15 November 2013.
The LWF is inviting member churches to participate in this initiative to fast for one day during the course of the conference in solidarity with the poor and vulnerable adversely affected by extreme weather events, and to call for a meaningful outcome to the climate change negotiations.

The "delegates" from Lutheran World Federation, based in Geneva, Switzerland, are of course used to a certain standard of comfortable living. That's probably why they opted for only a one day "hunger strike".

Today these merry people are again back at the tables laden with the best of Polish Cuisine in Warsaw ...

Friday, 15 November 2013

COP 19 - Another record breaking season for the UN Global Warming Circus

(image Wikipedia)

The travelling UN global warming circus COP (19), now performing at the Warsaw National Stadium, is set for another record breaking season. The circus management has proudly announced that that precisely 10,106 are registered to attend as performers, which is 1002 more than showed up last year in Doha.

Over 10% annual growth during this time of economic austerity! Not many businesses are able to produce that kind of growth figures. Congratulations UNFCCC!

PS

Unfortunately the COP is a somewhat one dimensional act - for years now, only clowns have been invited to perform.

Tuesday, 12 November 2013

The international Red Cross (IFRC) has sent a "30-strong delegation" to the UN global warming jamboree in Warsaw

This is one reason why I have stopped supporting the Red Cross financially:

The IFRC ( International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies) has sent a 30-strong delegation to COP 19 in Warsaw, with members drawn from 15 National Societies with an interest in climate change, and technical specialists from the secretariat and the Climate Centre, headed by Evgeni Parfenov, the IFRC Europe zone’s Head of Operations. The IFRC has been actively engaged in the COP process for at least a decade in an effort to highlight the effects of climate change on vulnerable communities around the world.

It would be interesting to know what the total cost of this huge delegation (and their assistants) adds up to. During the COP19 the even normally high Warsaw hotel prices have gone up considerably, and the Red Cross people are used to staying in rather good hotels.

Instead of sending tens of bureaucrats on useless and costly trips to the Warsaw global warming jamboree, the IFRC should be putting all available resources on relief operations, in the Philippines and elsewhere.

PS

Another good reason for not donating any money to the Red Cross is this:

The American Red Cross is one of the nation's most venerable and largest charitable organizations, founded in 1881, with revenues of $3.5 billion in 2010. That year, Red Cross CEO Gail J. McGovern took home total compensation of $1.04 million.

(Just for comparison: US President Barack Obama's salary is $400,000 annually)

And this:

Sir Nick Young, the chief executive of the British Red Cross, saw his pay jump by 12 per cent to £184,000 since 2010, despite a one per cent fall in the charity’s donations and a three per cent fall in revenues.

(UK Prime Minister David Cameron earns £142,500 a year)

Friday, 8 November 2013

Next UN global warming jamboree to begin in Warsaw amid signs of some real progress

“If you look at the emissions that the Kyoto Protocol has cut in Europe, it is around 200m tonnes of CO2 a year, and we are leaders? In the US, which has half the population, they have reductions from the switch to shale gas of 500m tonnes a year. We have a tendency to say we are leaders, but we are not”

Martin Korolec
President of the COP19, Polish Minister of Environment



Another UN global warming mega jamboree, COP19, is opening next week in Warsaw bringing together 40,000 attendees. All previous meetings have been useless, but this time there are some signs of real progress:

Tony Abbott's new government has will not send its environment minister to Warsaw:

It is official: Australia’s new government denies global warming.  The Coalition Government will not send its environment minister to the 19th session of the Conference of the Parties (COP 19) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) which will kick off  in Warsaw, Poland from 11-22 November 2013.

Climate observers said this will send a wrong signal of Australia walking away from its commitment on climate action and it may set a precedent for other countries to backslide.

Indeed, one can only hope that Australia sets an example here. Heads of state and government of the major countries have already long ago dropped the COPs from their agenda. Why should the ministers of environment waste their time on these completely useless gatherings? There are more than enough of real environmental problems to keep them busy for years.

For those still in attendance, the President of the COP19, Polish Minister of Environment Marcin Korolec, may have something meaningful to offer:

Marcin Korolec prides himself on not being like other politicians. Indeed, he prides himself on not being a politician at all, defining himself as a civil servant. Yet he is Poland's environment minister and he has accordingly been masterminding Poland's preparations to host international climate talks that begin in Warsaw next week.
He therefore has the same role as Connie Hedegaard in the 2009 climate talks, when, as Denmark's minister for climate and energy, she presided over the Copenhagen climate change summit. For her, it was the prelude to becoming the European commissioner for climate action.
It is a safe bet to say that Korolec will not be pursuing the same career trajectory. Indeed, environmental campaigners are horrified at Korolec's influence over this year's climate-change talks. They see him as the chief obstacle to the European Union adopting a more ambitious approach to climate change.
In March 2012, it was Korolec who exercised Poland's veto at a meeting of the EU's council of environment ministers preventing adoption of a low-carbon roadmap. Poland objected to the long-term emission-reduction milestones suggested.
Afterwards he told Polish journalists: “The problem of the EU environment ministers is that they rarely discuss issues carefully and in detail, considering the wide range of opinions and positions.” He said his experience as a civil servant in an economics ministry gave him a different understanding.

Saturday, 5 October 2013

Nobel Peace Prize nominee Vladimir Putin watching his troops threaten Poland and the Baltic states

This video shows Nobel Peace Prize nominee,Vladimir Putin, joined by fellow dictator Alexander Lukashenko, watching Russian and Belorussian troops in action during the huge military exercises Zapad 2013 last week:



Officially the forces trained how to combat "illegal armed groups" (terrorists), but the real reason for the exercises was to threaten Poland and the Baltic states:

“Russia has officially stated that these are anti-terrorism exercises,” Lithuanian Defense Minister Juozas Olekas told AFP. “But the number of participants and amount of military equipment indicates that that this is not their agenda.”
Senior Estonian military official Lt. Col. Eero Rebo said: “The Kremlin claims that the exercise is about fighting terrorism, but based on the information we have on Zapad 2013, the exercise has an anti-West agenda.”
“If you look at the Baltic sea region, the strategic balance has been changing quite drastically in the last decade, and not in our favor,” Latvian Defense Minister Artis Pabriks said Friday.
“We are concerned because we see such large-scale exercises in context,” he added.

Russia had informed NATO that 22,500 troops would participate in the Zapad 2013 exercises, but according to Swedish intelligence sources the real number was much higher, about 70,000. No wonder that people in Poland and the Baltic states are - and should be - extremely concerned.

On this Belorussian video you can see a soldier aiming at an unarmed Swedish Gripen reconnaissance plane (at about 2 min):



 
 

Monday, 16 September 2013

San Leon Energy 's first shale gas well in Poland: Initial results "encouraging"

In late August Lane Energy (ConocoPhillips controlled) reported that its well in Poland was flowing natural gas. Today San Leon Energy announced "very encouraging" results from its first well in Poland:

San Leon announce it has completed the flow back, testing and initial analysis of its first vertical hydraulic fracture stimulation ("frac") of the Lewino-1G2 well on its 221,000 acre (894 km2) Gdansk W Concession in Poland's northern Baltic Basin.

"The initial results and data collected at Lewino-1G2 are very encouraging and easily justify continued operations on this concession. The amount of data collected along with the flow of burnable gas from the well is an excellent result for this initial frac and test at Lewino and exceeded our expectations for San Leon's first frac in the basin and further underpins our belief that we are in one of the highest potential blocks in the basin. As is seen throughout North America, each working shale is different, and in fact the same shale formations can vary significantly in the same basin. We are at a critical stage in our shale gas exploration in Poland and we are excited to have flowed gas to surface and to have recovered the necessary information to continue to prove this play. Our knowledge of this system has increased exponentially and we believe has accelerated our understanding of the commercial potential of shale gas production in Poland."

It is still early days, but these first results show that Gazprom and others, who, for various reasons have been busy calling shale gas exploration in Poland a failure, have been proven wrong.

Wednesday, 28 August 2013

Great news from Poland: ‘Polish shale gas is flowing’

This is good news for Poland (and Europe):

Shale gas has been flowing for more than a month from a wellbore near Lębork, in northern Poland, writes Rzeczpospolita, stressing that the flow rate amounts to 8,000 cubic metres per day. Although the amount is too small to be called “commercial”, it is the best result obtained through hydraulic fracking in any European country to date.
The daily hopes that the government will now “change its attitude” towards the shale gas business and tear down the “legendary” barriers blocking companies wishing to explore for shale gas in Poland.
The Polish Geological Institute (PIG) estimates the country’s shale gas resources may amount to 768bn cubic metres, making them one of the largest on the continent.

Friday, 23 August 2013

It is much too early to write the epitaph for Poland's shale gas future

Gazprom, the world's most corrupt energy company, has been lobbying furiously in Brussels for EU-wide legislation to curb fracking. Particularly the Russians have been targeting shale gas exploration in Poland. The Russians have evidently also been sponsoring a number of "experts" who have written down Polish shale gas hopes in western media:

The Polish intelligence service (ABW) warned in a declassified report last year that Russian spies are engaged in widespread espionage operations targeting Poland's shale projects. --

"There have been a number of very poor bore holes so far," said Mr Poprawa, now at the Energy Studies Institute in Warsaw. "This has to be admitted, but it was mostly due to lack of experience by PGNiG [Poland's gas leader] rather than the geology. We need at least 100 lateral drills to reach any conclusion. So far there have only been six."

Poland may not be the next Norway - the fond hope of foreign minister Radek Sikorski - and its failure to draw up a legal regime that is remotely fit for purpose threatens an exodus of foreign explorers. But anti-frackers have also been too quick to write the epitaph of Poland's shale drive. --

"We have already proved 12 to 18 trillion cubic feet of recoverable gas in our bloc. We are delighted," said San Leon's Mr Fanning. That alone is two years of Polish imports. ExxonMobil's widely reported withdrawal from Poland has been from the Lublin Basin to the south, an entirely different story. "Nobody is pulling out of the Baltic Basin," he said.

Mr Fanning said it is a "fallacy" that Polish shale gas is unusually hard to extract. "The rocks are 2,500 to 4,000 metres deep, which is not so different from the US. Even if they are deeper, there is more pressure, so you get more gas. It balances out.

"The catalyst that is missing in Poland is sheer intensity of drilling. You need 60 wells in each area to find the right 'recipe', and until you start fracking you are just guessing. There have been only three or four horizontal fracks in the country so far."

The authorities have not made it easy. "Everything has been far too slow. The higher levels of the government are committed, but once you go lower, you get bogged down in the old Communist bureaucracy. It took a year to get permission just to drill deeper, so we had to stop and wait. This was very irritating, but it has been cleared up now."

Read the entire article here

Wednesday, 24 July 2013

Gazprom is not able to stop shale gas eploration in Romania, Poland and Lithuania

The world's most corrupt energy company Gazprom, in an alliance with various environmental campaigners (most probably financed by Gazprom), tries to stop the shale gas revolution reaching Europe, but that will not stop Chevron from intensifying its efforts in Romania, Poland and Lithuania:
Environmental campaigners, in an unlikely alliance of interests with Russian gas-export monopoly OAO Gazprom, have also held up investment in the shale industry. Chevron had its license revoked in Bulgaria last year after hundreds protested in Sofia over concerns fracking would pollute water and land.
A report in the corporate Gazprom Magazine said prospects for shale are undermined by lower reserves estimates, green protests and the harm to profits of low gas prices. “Europeans have no real alternative to cooperation with Russia,” it concluded.
That possibility hasn’t stopped Chevron. On top of three wells in Poland, the second-biggest U.S. oil company plans an exploration well in Romania, has begun work in Lithuania and been awarded a 1.6 million-acre license in Ukraine.
“While the shale gas revolution may not be on the same scale as what we have seen in the U.S., we are still confident of the opportunities,” MacDonald said by e-mail. “Unlike the U.S., in central Europe there’s little pre-existing geological data. The exploration activities we are currently undertaking will be important in assessing the resource potential.” Chevron is pledging to explore for as long as five years, he said.
That commitment is winning support from some governments.
“Romania, Poland and Lithuania are in favor of shale gas as these countries see the natural gas problem as more than just an issue of getting cheaper energy,” Romanian Prime Minister Victor Ponta said on July 18. “It’s important for us to have cheaper energy, especially because of its impact on the economy and the population, but more so to stop relying on imports from Russia, from Gazprom.”
Read the entire article here

Thursday, 11 July 2013

Shale gas exploration in Poland: Foreign investors need a better regulatory framework

The Economist has an interesting analysis of the state of shale gas exploration in Poland. Apparently there is an urgent need for the Polish government to adjust the regulatory framework in order to make it possible for investors to continue drilling: 

ExxonMobil quit Poland in June last year after drilling just two wells. In May of this year Canada’s Talisman and Marathon Oil, an American firm, also withdrew from Polish exploration citing unsatisfactory results. Operators admit the technology of extracting gas from Polish shale has proved harder to crack than they anticipated.
Even so, Pawel Poprawa, a geologist from the Energy Studies Institute, who authored the Polish Geological Institute’s estimate of the country’s shale gas reserves, says far too few wells have been drilled to draw conclusions about the rocks. Only four horizontal wells have undergone multi-stage hydraulic fracturing, the best indicator of a field’s reserves. The government’s proposed fiscal and regulatory framework is the main reason why companies slowed the pace of their exploration in recent months, says Mr Poprawa says. It was variously described to our correspondent as “mad” and “a mess” by industry executives.
The current regulations are inadequate. It can take over a year for companies to obtain the permits to change their work programme and drill a well deeper for example. The government wants to increase its take from a commercial shale gas industry. It has proposed new taxation capping the government take at 40% of an operator’s profits. Companies acknowledge new taxes will be introduced but argue that talk of figures is premature given no one knows yet if shale gas will prove to be commercially viable in Poland. The ministry of finance has eased matters by saying it will postpone the collection of any new taxes from 2015 to 2020.
More controversial are the draft regulations proposed by the environment ministry that will create the state-owned company, NOKE, to take stakes in all future production concessions as a way of guaranteeing the state’s interest in future production. Operators are concerned they are being forced to take on a partner in NOKE that, unlike the Norwegian state company it is based on, will be staffed by public administrators with no experience of unconventional hydrocarbons.
Companies that have already invested millions of dollars drilling wells are also worried the proposals do not give them a legal guarantee to transfer their existing exploration licenses into production licenses without taking part in a competitive tender.  “If there is a change in the government’s approach then it is not too late for this industry to patiently work its way through the problems with some realistic prospect of success. If we continue on the road we’re on at the moment, this industry will be very modest and will not fulfil its potential,” said Tomasz Maj, until recently Talisman’s Poland manager.
Read the entire article here

Saturday, 22 June 2013

Finally, some good news about shale gas in Poland

Lately,  most reports about shale gas exploration in Poland have been negative. That's why it is nice to have some good news:

Wisent Oil and Gas, partly owned by Poland's Petrolinvest and the U.S. Hallwood Resources, found its initial shale oil and gas operations in Poland promising and decided on further drilling, the company said on Friday.
Its decision to hire the Warsaw based United Oilfield Services for drilling comes in a time when hopes for shale gas in Poland have diminished after three global firms left disappointed with poor drilling results and an uncertain legal environment.

Until now 46 wells have been drilled in Poland, with few key hydraulic fracturing processes taking place on more than 100 licences awarded to companies, but experts say that hundreds of wells are needed to show whether shale gas output is profitable.

Saturday, 27 April 2013

Latest EU poll: "Euroscepticism is soaring amid bailouts and spending cuts"

The latest European poll should make the pygmy politicians and Brussels eurocrats in charge of the slow motion train wreck known as the European Union scared to death: 

Public confidence in the European Union has fallen to historically low levels in the six biggest EU countries, raising fundamental questions about its democratic legitimacy more than three years into the union's worst ever crisis, new data shows.
After financial, currency and debt crises, wrenching budget and spending cuts, rich nations' bailouts of the poor, and surrenders of sovereign powers over policymaking to international technocrats, Euroscepticism is soaring to a degree that is likely to feed populist anti-EU politics and frustrate European leaders' efforts to arrest the collapse in support for their project.
Figures from Eurobarometer, the EU's polling organisation, analysed by the European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), a thinktank, show a vertiginous decline in trust in the EU in countries such as Spain,Germany and Italy that are historically very pro-European.
The six countries surveyed – Germany, France, Britain, Italy, Spain, and Poland – are the EU's biggest, jointly making up more than two out of three EU citizens or around 350 million of the EU's 500 million population.
The findings, published exclusively in the Guardian in Britain and in collaboration with other leading newspapers in the other five countries, represent a nightmare for Europe's leaders, whether in the wealthy north or in the bailout-battered south, suggesting a much bigger crisis of political and democratic legitimacy. 

"The damage is so deep that it does not matter whether you come from a creditor, debtor country, euro would-be member or the UK: everybody is worse off," said José Ignacio Torreblanca, head of the ECFR's Madrid office. "Citizens now think that their national democracy is being subverted by the way the euro crisis is conducted." --

The most dramatic fall in faith in the EU has occurred in Spain, where the banking and housing market collapse, eurozone bailout and runaway unemployment have combined to produce 72% "tending not to trust" the EU, with only 20% "tending to trust".
The data compares trust and mistrust in the EU at the end of last year with levels in 2007, before the financial crisis, to reveal a precipitate fall in support for the EU of the kind that is common in Britain but is much more rarely seen on the continent.
In Spain, trust in the EU fell from 65% to 20% over the five-year period while mistrust soared to 72% from 23%.
In five of the six countries, including Britain, mistrust prevailed over trust by sizeable margins, whereas in 2007 – with the exception of the UK – the opposite was the case.
Five years ago, 56% of Germans "tended to trust" the EU, whereas 59% now "tend to mistrust". In France, mistrust has risen from 41% to 56%. In Italy, where public confidence in Europe has traditionally been higher than in the national political class, mistrust of the EU has almost doubled from 28% to 53%.
The failure of the present European Union is becoming more apparent day by day. The co-founder of the Danish Saxo BankLars Seier Christensen, has some interesting ideas about what could be done to stop the madness:
The big question raised in the book (by Vaclav Klaus) is really whether the EU is more the problem than the solution in the current crisis.
Both the EU and Denmark are in a difficult situation. The euro has shown its true colours and anyone with a rational view of the world sees the currency collaboration as a historic failure that can lead to even further fatal consequences for Europe and the continent’s competitiveness vis-à-vis the rest of the world. There is one thing, and only one thing, that can rescue the euro. That is a much more far-reaching integration between the euro countries; a common financial policy, joint debt issuing, a willingness to pay enormous transfers from the rich to the poor countries or, more specifically, from Germany to all the other member states.
That is a possible route, but not a desirable one. At least not for the citizens who in this case - like in too many other cases - seem to have fundamentally different interests than politicians. It requires a will to give up national independence to an extent that is not acceptable to the voters and, precisely because of this, can only be accomplished in an undemocratic manner.
A speech by British Prime Minister David Cameron on January 23 was extraordinarily important. It represented a strengthening of the critical debate that many Europeans are striving for. Until this moment, Václav Klaus was the only head of state who contributed to that debate. The fact that the prime minister of one of the EU’s most important countries is stepping forward as the focal point for citizens who want a different EU can turn out to be extremely important, although the initial reactions from the EU elite were as negative as they were predictable. The EU does not take criticism and debate lightly.
But with the UK’s forthcoming attempt to negotiate a less restrictive agreement with the EU, Pandora’s box has now been opened. Cameron’s rational reasoning will contribute to exposing the EU’s rigid insistence on more power despite the poor results. It will become increasingly difficult for both the Brits and other EU citizens to understand a firm rejection of Cameron’s five principles – competitiveness, flexibility, more power to the national states, democratic responsibility and fairness. That the EU will have to argue against such reasonable demands and as strongly as possible try to prevent referendums about them would only create more attention and more criticism not least because the Eurozone will come under further economic pressure as a possible referendum would be approaching in the UK in 2017.
It is a unique chance for the countries outside the Eurozone to create an independent forum chaired by Cameron. The Danish Prime Minister ought to have been on the first flight to London to discuss this. It did not happen, of course, but the hope for a better EU has been strengthened by Cameron’s newfound leadership.

Wednesday, 30 January 2013

French/German television channel ARTE joins the anti-fracking campaign

The French/German television channel ARTE last night lost whatever was left of its credibility in covering energy matters, by broadcasting the Polish-American film maker Lech Kowalski's anti-fracking "documentary" "Gas-Fieber" (Gas Fever). 

Kowalski, whose most notable film hitherto chronicles the UK punk scene in the 70's, had managed to find a few half hysteric people in Pennsylvania and Poland, who seemed to blame shale gas exploration for almost anything that had gone wrong with their lives. And, of course, Kowalski did not allow any objective studies (which show that there are no “proven cases where the fracking process itself has affected water” - Lisa Jackson, EPA administrator) spoil his anti-fracking message. Neither were any representatives of the shale gas industry given a chance to address the purely anecdotal "evidence". 

The "debate" that followed the "documentary" was another low for ARTE. The French moderator was clearly in the same team with the invited two French anti-fracking activists leaving the cautiously pro shale gas German MEP Michael Paul to play a very minor role. 

The people in charge of Gazprom's anti-fracking campaign must have been very pleased with the evening. If they did not already sponsor this program, Kowalski and ARTE will have no problems finding funding for their next propaganda effort. 

PS
ARTE could have invited e.g. US ambassador to Germany, Philip D. Murphy to participate in the debate. He could have provided all the facts that were lacking in the program.