Don´t be afraid to see what you see
(Ronald Reagan)
Tuesday, 31 May 2011
The True Finns again show the way in Europe
The leader of the True Finns party, Timo Soini has decided not to join the planned Finnish coalition government, which would be ready to accept the Portuguese bail-out arrangement. Gregory White, writing in Business Insider, gets it right: Mr. Soini´s refusal to betray his principles, prevents his party from joining the government, but it will bring great rewards later on.
While in the short-term, this will stop the True Finns from achieving any of their policy goals on EU reform and immigration, it will offer them a political opportunity. As the independent voice for reform of Finland's relationship with the EU, the party will now be able to speak openly against all government action on bailouts.
It's not as if membership in a coalition was sure to help the True Finns. Party leader Timo Soini need only look to London to see what can go wrong for a junior member in a coalition government. There, Nick Clegg's Liberal Democrats have rapidly lost public support, and seen their aims at reforming the country's electoral system broadly voted down.
If, as is expected, the eurozone crisis continues to muddle along for the next four years, and public support for bailouts continues to weaken, the True Finns could pick up even more seats at the next Finnish election, and either lead a coalition, or lead themselves.
Typically, those elections come every 4-years. But a weak centrist Finnish coalition may not be able to hold, offering Soini and his party a quick opportunity to increase their share of the vote and, potentially, power.
PS
Mr. Soini´s speech at the UKIP National Conference in 2009 is still worth listening to:
PS
This post was published already some time ago. Due to a technical error in the system, the date was changed to today. I apologize for the mistake. However, I think that Mr. Soini´s message is still worth reading!
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